This prediction is based on DPIRD's Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2018 to 11 June 2018 from the nearest weather station.
Key to blackspot severity scores
Percentage yield loss (in years) for different levels of blackspot risk scenarios | |||
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot risk | Five out of 10 years | Three out of 10 years | One out of 10 years |
Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Bencubbin
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 92.1mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 28
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
9% spore released - blackspot risk high | 21% spore released - blackspot risk high | 36% spore released - blackspot risk medium |
Do not sow | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Boyup Brook
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 186.6mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 46
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
46% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 62% spore released - blackspot risk low | 75% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry |
Cunderdin
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 99.7mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 39
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
29% spore released - blackspot risk high | 46% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 62% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Do not sow | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Dowerin
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 101.2mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 35
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
21% spore released - blackspot risk high | 36% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 53% spore released - blackspot risk medium |
Sow - do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Gairdner
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 71.6mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 48
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
50% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 66% spore released - blackspot risk low | 79% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry |
Jacup
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 98.4mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 57
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
70% spore released - blackspot risk low | 82% spore released - blackspot risk low | 90% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry |
Katanning
Last date used for prediction: 11 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 136mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 48
11 June | 18 June | 25 June |
---|---|---|
50% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 66% spore released - blackspot risk low | 79% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Kojonup
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 175mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 56
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
68% spore released - blackspot risk low | 80% spore released - blackspot risk low | 89% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Kondinin
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 118.9mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 51
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
57% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 72% spore released - blackspot risk low | 83% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Lake King
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 98.4mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 56
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
68% spore released - blackspot risk low | 80% spore released - blackspot risk low | 89% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Merredin
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 90.4mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 37
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
25% spore released - blackspot risk high | 41% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 57% spore released - blackspot risk medium |
Do not sow | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Mingenew
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 156.9mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 35
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
21% spore released - blackspot risk high | 36% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 53% spore released - blackspot risk medium |
Do not sow | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Moora
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 148.1mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 42
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
36% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 53% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 68% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Do not sow | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Mount Howick
Last date used for prediction: 11 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 155mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 73
11 June | 18 June | 25 June |
---|---|---|
92% spore released - blackspot risk low | 97% spore released - blackspot risk low | 99% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Mt Barker
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 127.5mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 70
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
89% spore released - blackspot risk low | 95% spore released - blackspot risk low | 98% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry |
Mullewa
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 132.5mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 37
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
25% spore released - blackspot risk high | 41% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 57% spore released - blackspot risk medium |
Do not sow | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Newdegate
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 73.6mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 51
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
57% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 72% spore released - blackspot risk low | 83% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Northam
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 153.2mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 36
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
23% spore released - blackspot risk high | 38% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 55% spore released - blackspot risk medium |
Do not sow | Do not sow | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Pingrup
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 77.8mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 44
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
41% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 57% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 72% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow - do not sow dry | Sow - do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Salmon Gums
Last date used for prediction: 11 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 175mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 60
11 June | 18 June | 25 June |
---|---|---|
75% spore released - blackspot risk low | 86% spore released - blackspot risk low | 93% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Scaddan
Last date used for prediction: 11 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 218.2mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 57
11 June | 18 June | 25 June |
---|---|---|
70% spore released - blackspot risk low | 82% spore released - blackspot risk low | 90% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Tammin
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 87.8mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 38
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
27% spore released - blackspot risk high | 43% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 59% spore released - blackspot risk medium |
Do not sow | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Toodyay
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 195.9mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 40
12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|
31% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 48% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 64% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Do not sow | Sow – do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |