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Seasonal Climate Outlook

The Seasonal Climate Outlook (SCO) is a monthly newsletter that summarises climate outlooks for the next three months produced by DPIRD's Statistical Seasonal Forecast (SSF) system specifically for the Western Australian grainbelt, and by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. It provides a review of recent climate indicators, including ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation), the Indian Ocean Dipole, the Southern Annular Mode, as well as local sea surface temperature and pressures systems. At appropriate times of year it also includes an overview of the rainfall outlook for the growing season produced by the SSF.

June 2023

Seasonal Climate Outlook June 2023

Recent conditions: growing season rainfall (since 1 April) has been decile 1-3 for the majority of the South West Land Division (SWLD), with some locations still waiting for an autumn break. Rainfall outlook for SWLD for winter, June to August and further ahead, August to October is for below...

May 2023

Seasonal Climate Outlook May 2023

Rainfall in the South West Land Division, for May to July 2023, is likely to be below average, based on a survey of 20 international models.

April 2023

Seasonal Climate Outlook April 2023

Rainfall in the South West Land Division, for April to June, is likely to be below average, based on a survey of 22 international models.

March 2023

Seasonal Climate Outlook March 2023

The Department of Primary Industries and Regional Development’s (DPIRD) Statistical Seasonal Forecast (SSF) outlook for autumn, March to May 2023, is indicating greater than 60% probability of above median rainfall for the majority of the South West Land Division, although skill is very low this...

February 2023

Seasonal Climate Outlook February 2023

The Department of Primary Industries and Regional Development’s (DPIRD) Statistical Seasonal Forecast (SSF) outlook for February to April 2023, is indicating greater than 60% probability of above median rainfall for the majority of the South West Land Division, although skill is very low this...

January 2023

Seasonal Climate Outlook January 2022

The Department of Primary Industries and Regional Development’s (DPIRD) Statistical Seasonal Forecast (SSF) outlook for January to February 2023, is indicating mixed probabilities of above median rainfall for the South West Land Division, although skill is very low this time of the year.

December 2022

Seasonal climate outlook December 2022

The Department of Primary Industries and Regional Development’s (DPIRD) Statistical Seasonal Forecast (SSF) outlook for summer, December 2022 to February 2023, is indicating less than 40% probability of above median rainfall for the majority of the South West Land Division.

November 2022

Seasonal Climate Outlook November 2022

The Department of Primary Industries and Regional Development’s (DPIRD) Statistical Seasonal Forecast (SSF) outlook for November 2022 to January 2023, is indicating mostly neutral (40-60%) probability of above median rainfall for the majority of the South West Land Division.

October 2022

Seasonal Climate Outlook October 2022

The Department of Primary Industries and Regional Development’s (DPIRD) Statistical Seasonal Forecast (SSF) outlook for October to December, 2022 is indicating mostly neutral (40-60%) probability of above median rainfall for the majority of the South West Land Division (SWLD).

September 2022

Seasonal Climate Outlook September 2022

The Department of Primary Industries and Regional Development’s (DPIRD) Statistical Seasonal Forecast (SSF) outlook for spring, September to November, 2022 is indicating mostly neutral (40-60%) probability of above median rainfall for the majority of the South West Land Division.

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