Seasonal Climate Outlook

April to October outlook for South West Land Division

The SSF is indicating for April to October a 60-80% chance of exceeding median rainfall for parts of the northern grainbelt and along the west coast. Along the southern coast the chance is lower at less than 40%, with neutral (40-60%) chance for the eastern grainbelt. The most probable decile rainfall map indicates decile 8-10 most likely for the northern grainbelt and decile 2-3 in southern parts. Predictive skill is poor to good, 50-75% consistent.

SSF forecast of the probability of exceeding median rainfall for April to October 2018. Indicating a wetter than normal outlook (60-80%) of receiving median rainfall for northern grainbelt and west coast.
SSF forecast of the probability of exceeding median rainfall for April to October 2018
Percent Consistent skill of the SSF at forecasting April to October rainfall up to and including March. Skill is 50-75 percent consistent
Percent Consistent skill of the SSF at forecasting April to October rainfall up to and including March