What does this map mean?

Statistical forecasts are not for exact amounts. They take the form of probability distributions that may represent a shift from historical rainfall probabilities.

The probability of above median rainfall map shows the chance of getting more rainfall than usual, when compared to the years in the base climatology.

The best way to visualise what this means is to click on a station for more detail. Stations shown in black are from the Patchpoint database. Stations shown in white are DPIRD automatic weather stations.

For a general overview, see the Seasonal Climate Outlook newsletter. It provides a dot point summary of seasonal rainfall and other climate forecasts made by DPIRD and other national and international organisations.