This prediction is based on DPIRD’s Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2020 to 20 April 2020 from the nearest weather station.
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Key to blackspot severity scores
| Blackspot risk | Blackspot severity | 5 out of 10 years | 3 out of 10 years | 1 out of 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Low | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| Medium | 3-4 | 20 | 25 | 35 |
| High | 5 | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Ballarat
Rainfall to date: 216 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 70
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Too early to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Bendigo
Rainfall to date: 193.8 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 60
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Too early to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Beulah West (Hopetoun)
Rainfall to date: 115.5 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 44
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Ok to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Charlton
Rainfall to date: 108.7 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 36
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Ok to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Cressy
Rainfall to date: 184.5 mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 64
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Too early to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Derrinallum (Leslie Manor)
Rainfall to date: 189 mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 63
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Too early to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Edenhope
Rainfall to date: 95.9 mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 44
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Too early to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Horsham
Rainfall to date: 132 mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 64
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Ok to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Molyullah (Benalla)
Rainfall to date: 273.5 mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 70
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Ok to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Nhill
Rainfall to date: 120.2 mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 35
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Ok to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Quambatook
Rainfall to date: 116.5 mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 45
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Ok to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Swan Hill Aerodrome
Rainfall to date: 87.4 mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 40
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Ok to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Warracknabeal
Rainfall to date: 89.5 mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 42
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Ok to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Warranooke (Marnoo)
Rainfall to date: 112.8 mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 43
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Ok to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Wycheproof
Rainfall to date: 132.7 mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 41
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Ok to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Yatchaw (Hamilton)
Rainfall to date: 139.8 mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 60
| Forecast for crops sown on | 20 Apr | 27 Apr | 4 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Too early to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
More information
For more information contact Dr Joshua Fanning at at Agriculture Victoria Research on ph +61 (0)3 4344 3335.
