This prediction is based on DPIRD's Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2018 to 30 May 2018 from the nearest weather station.
Key to blackspot severity scores
Blackspot risk | Five out of 10 years | Three out of 10 years | One out of 10 years |
---|---|---|---|
Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Balaklava
Rainfall to date: 56.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 35
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is medium | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Blyth (Hart)
Rainfall to date: 78.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 52
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is medium | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Bordertown
Rainfall to date: 72.3mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 42
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is medium | Do not sow as risk is medium | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Bute
Rainfall to date: 92.1mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 53
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Clare
Rainfall to date: 111mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 64
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Crystal Brook
Rainfall to date: 50mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 24
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Eudunda
Rainfall to date: 76.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 54
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Farrell Flat
Rainfall to date: 82.6mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is medium | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Keith
Rainfall to date: 74.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 35
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is medium | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Kimba
Rainfall to date: 50.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 23
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Kingsford
Rainfall to date: 77.2mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 63
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Kyancutta
Rainfall to date: 47.9mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 30
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Lameroo
Rainfall to date: 36.6mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 21
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Lock
Rainfall to date: 57.2mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 34
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is medium | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Maitland
Rainfall to date: 93.8mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 53
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Mannum
Rainfall to date: 44mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 27
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Minlaton
Rainfall to date: 70.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 34
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Minnipa
Rainfall to date: 40.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 35
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Getting too late to sow and risk is medium | Getting too late to sow and risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Mount Barker SA
Rainfall to date: 157.6mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 78
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Marginally early | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Murray Bridge
Rainfall to date: 42.9mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 28
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high | Getting too late to sow and risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Mypolonga
Rainfall to date: 42.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 23
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Naracoorte
Rainfall to date: 84.6mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 70
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginally early | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Nuriootpa
Rainfall to date: 87.2mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 54
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Palmer
Rainfall to date: 61.6mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 49
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Port Broughton
Rainfall to date: 84.8mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 49
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Riverton
Rainfall to date: 92.8mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 49
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Sedan
Rainfall to date: 45.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 34
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but risk is high | Okay to sow but risk is high | Okay to sow but risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Snowtown
Rainfall to date: 85.5mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 45
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Strathalbyn
Rainfall to date: 77.9mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 53
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginally late to sow | Marginally late to sow | Getting late to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Tumby Bay
Rainfall to date: 46.9mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 23
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but disease risk is high | Okay to sow but disease risk is high | Okay to sow but disease risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Yeelanna
Rainfall to date: 81.8mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 33
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but disease risk is high | Okay to sow but disease risk is high | Okay to sow but disease risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Yorketown
Rainfall to date: 59.2mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 38
Weekly forecast | 28 May | 4 June | 11 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but disease risk is high | Okay to sow but disease risk is medium | Okay to sow but disease risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
More information
For more information contact Dr Jenny Davidson at SARDI on ph +61 (0)8 8303 9389.